Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 12.184027 13.984864 15.910031 18.115566 20.566545 23.200806 26.240145
2025-09-28 9.592093 12.000570 14.754080 18.113137 22.077097 26.582279 32.064709
2025-10-05 8.238779 11.001279 14.321569 18.561588 23.783584 29.953983 37.741064
2025-10-12 7.207973 10.180963 13.909947 18.857622 25.169029 32.865123 42.863594
2025-10-19 6.330753 9.413673 13.432870 18.950648 26.209802 35.306222 47.421188
2025-10-26 5.415533 8.470885 12.607053 18.474525 26.422631 36.639751 50.563935
2025-11-02 4.703015 7.717907 11.946211 18.129032 26.730920 38.046273 53.787789
2025-11-09 4.094840 7.041414 11.317399 17.753127 26.934670 39.274580 56.770656
2025-11-16 3.590908 6.461775 10.767102 17.427330 27.156191 40.495551 59.743316
2025-11-23 3.107015 5.856724 10.119959 16.898677 27.034677 41.207120 62.008796
2025-11-30 2.831923 5.558976 9.910682 16.994506 27.798331 43.154962 66.017546
2025-12-07 2.580254 5.271883 9.690066 17.047757 28.484563 44.997759 69.915702
2025-12-14 2.376834 5.050864 9.562472 17.242390 29.398689 47.213533 74.439163
2025-12-21 2.157030 4.775630 9.321214 17.234846 29.994104 48.974916 78.354128
2025-12-28 2.035151 4.668537 9.352830 17.665299 31.277603 51.783325 83.861478
2026-01-04 1.900856 4.522058 9.302074 17.949542 32.332624 54.272008 88.955634
2026-01-11 1.750107 4.325418 9.144893 18.038870 33.069613 56.290398 93.392646
2026-01-18 1.539679 3.980739 8.689495 17.581708 32.887247 56.878448 95.677982
2026-01-25 1.368487 3.696951 8.321831 17.250028 32.886398 57.733290 98.373869
2026-02-01 1.212331 3.425428 7.953306 16.889203 32.811181 58.455469 100.869005
2026-02-08 1.078061 3.185343 7.624628 16.576522 32.795647 59.259921 103.498035
2026-02-15 0.939014 2.913740 7.207760 16.069242 32.412411 59.447606 105.148871
2026-02-22 0.869261 2.802547 7.110950 16.161189 33.079796 61.359104 109.568357